Track record
Every forecast is saved before the open and compared with the real price. We show everything — hits and misses. 112 settled forecasts.
41%
Direction hits
46 of 112
71%
Open inside the range
80 of 112
Current streak: 1 hits · best hit streak: 13
Is our confidence honest?
The bar is how often we were actually right. The tick is how much confidence we claimed. If the bar reaches the tick, we are well calibrated.
We said 10–20%
24% · 50
We said 20–30%
59% · 51
We were right Stated confidence
By metal
Forecast vs real opening
| Date | Metal | Forecast | Range | Real open | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 06 | Platinum | DOWN · 20% | $1,588.38–$1,714.19 | $1,643.20 | Hit |
| Jul 06 | Palladium | DOWN · 20% | $1,219.37–$1,323.59 | $1,272.00 | Miss |
| Jul 06 | Silver | DOWN · 17% | $61.17–$65.83 | $62.52 | Hit |
| Jul 06 | Gold | DOWN · 28% | $4,133.07–$4,256.96 | $4,176.40 | Hit |
| Jul 06 | Platinum | DOWN · 19% | $1,579.04–$1,677.20 | $1,643.20 | Miss |
| Jul 06 | Palladium | DOWN · 19% | $1,234.01–$1,304.61 | $1,272.00 | Miss |
| Jul 06 | Silver | DOWN · 16% | $59.85–$63.05 | $62.52 | Miss |
| Jul 06 | Gold | DOWN · 27% | $4,068.99–$4,204.66 | $4,176.40 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Platinum | DOWN · 20% | $1,594.24–$1,663.69 | $1,655.00 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Platinum | DOWN · 20% | $1,564.50–$1,690.13 | $1,655.00 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Palladium | DOWN · 20% | $1,244.55–$1,294.48 | $1,272.50 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Palladium | DOWN · 20% | $1,216.36–$1,321.58 | $1,272.50 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Silver | DOWN · 17% | $60.34–$62.60 | $62.92 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Silver | DOWN · 17% | $59.13–$63.68 | $62.92 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Gold | DOWN · 28% | $4,089.26–$4,185.20 | $4,187.50 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Gold | DOWN · 28% | $4,075.02–$4,198.87 | $4,187.50 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Palladium | DOWN · 15% | $1,167.44–$1,252.89 | $1,272.50 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Platinum | DOWN · 15% | $1,584.10–$1,676.34 | $1,655.00 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Silver | DOWN · 15% | $56.51–$61.65 | $62.92 | Miss |
| Jul 05 | Gold | DOWN · 19% | $3,997.67–$4,150.98 | $4,187.50 | Miss |
⚖ Not financial advice. Each forecast is a probabilistic estimate (direction + range + probability + confidence), never a guaranteed price. Past results do not guarantee future results.