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Every range is saved before the open and checked against the real open. Since Aug 24, 2026 we publish no direction calls, so there are no direction hits or misses to show: what we verify is the range. 228 ranges settled across 112 opens (first settlement Aug 26, 2026, latest Oct 5, 2026).
45 of these 228 settlements are flagged by our settlement audit (open drift) and still count here; without them the 80 % range holds 121 of 183.
Small sample: 112 independent opens over 41 days. Percentages become meaningful from ~90 days of history.
An 80 % range must contain the real open 8 times out of 10. Here is each horizon's measured result — including the one that misses — with its confidence interval.
| Horizon | Range | Actual | 95 % CI | Holds? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next day's open | 50% | 51% (55/108) | 42%–60% | ✓ inside |
| Next day's open | 80% | 71% (77/108) | 62%–79% | ✗ outside |
| Next day's open | 90% | 81% (87/108) | 72%–87% | ✗ outside |
| This week | 50% | 39% (37/96) | 29%–49% | ✗ outside |
| This week | 80% | 65% (62/96) | 55%–73% | ✗ outside |
| This week | 90% | 76% (73/96) | 67%–83% | ✗ outside |
| Next week | 50% | 40% (8/20) | 22%–61% | ✓ inside |
| Next week | 80% | 70% (14/20) | 48%–85% | ✓ inside |
| Next week | 90% | 80% (16/20) | 58%–92% | ✓ inside |
| Next month | 50% | — (2/4) | small sample | — |
| Next month | 80% | — (3/4) | small sample | — |
| Next month | 90% | — (4/4) |
The interval is computed over independent decisions: the same target is scored under several horizons, and counting it twice would narrow the interval. "Holds" = the interval contains the promised percentage.
“Outside” means that in this window our published ranges were narrower than promised: the promise was not kept. We publish it as is. Range calibration is measured live on the status page. See the status page →
| Date (ET) | Metal | Horizon | Forecast | Range | Real open | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04published Oct 01, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Silver | This week | No signal | $60–$62 | $61 | No call |
| Oct 04published Oct 01, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Gold | This week | No signal | $4,148–$4,249 | $4,171 | No call |
| Oct 04published Oct 01, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Platinum | This week | No signal | $1,698–$1,760 | $1,716 | No call |
| Oct 04published Oct 01, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Palladium | Next day's open | No signal | $1,151–$1,221 | $1,179 | No call |
| Oct 04published Oct 01, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Gold | Next day's open | No signal | $4,172–$4,228 | $4,171 | No call |
| Oct 04published Oct 01, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Silver | Next day's open | No signal | $60–$63 | $61 | No call |
| Oct 04published Oct 01, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Palladium | This week | No signal | $1,168–$1,206 | $1,179 | No call |
| Oct 04published Sep 27, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Gold | Next week | No signal | $4,209–$4,391 | $4,171 | No call |
| Oct 04published Sep 27, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Palladium | Next week | No signal | $1,219–$1,311 | $1,179 | No call |
| Oct 04published Sep 27, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Silver | Next week | No signal | $62–$67 | $61 | No call |
| Oct 04published Oct 01, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Platinum | Next day's open | No signal | $1,681–$1,776 | $1,716 | No call |
| Oct 04published Sep 27, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 05, 08:00 ET | Platinum | Next week | No signal | $1,740–$1,824 | $1,716 | No call |
| Oct 01published Sep 30, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 02, 08:00 ET | Platinum | Next day's open | No signal | $1,654–$1,780 | $1,735 | No call |
| Oct 01published Sep 30, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 02, 08:00 ET | Silver | Next day's open | No signal | $58–$63 | $61 | No call |
| Oct 01published Sep 24, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 02, 08:00 ET | Palladium | This week | No signal | $1,202–$1,332 | $1,188 | No call |
| Oct 01published Sep 24, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 02, 08:00 ET | Platinum | This week | No signal | $1,657–$1,841 | $1,735 | No call |
| Oct 01published Sep 24, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 02, 08:00 ET | Silver | This week | No signal | $61–$66 | $61 | No call |
| Oct 01published Sep 30, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 02, 08:00 ET | Gold | Next day's open | No signal | $4,145–$4,220 | $4,205 | No call |
| Oct 01published Sep 30, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 02, 08:00 ET | Palladium | Next day's open | No signal | $1,162–$1,258 | $1,188 | No call |
| Oct 01published Sep 24, 18:30 ET · settled Oct 02, 08:00 ET | Gold | This week | No signal | $4,204–$4,387 | $4,205 | No call |
Raw data (JSON): /api/forecast/results
⚖ Not financial advice. Each forecast is a probabilistic estimate (direction + range + probability + confidence), never a guaranteed price. Past results do not guarantee future results.
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